М.С. Кузьмина
12
Methods of predicting a probability of damnification of
human and material resources
© M.S. Kuzmina
Bauman Moscow State Technical University, Moscow, 105005, Russia
The article considers methods of predicting damage to human and material resources. It
presents methods of calculating damage from toxic impacts, from pollution of the hydro-
and atmosphere, as well as damage caused to buildings and people. Information on this
topic has been compiled and synthesized. Particular attention was paid to the probit
function and its application in the field. An example of calculating risks of accidents on
pipelines is given.
Keywords:
probit function, prediction method, damage, damaging factors, cost, criterion.
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Kuzmina M.S.
(b. 1991) is a 6
th
year student of the Higher Mathematics Department at
Bauman Moscow State Technical University. She is the author of four published scien-
tific work. Research interests: probability theory, statistical analysis of censored data,
application of statistical analysis for calculation of damages and risks. е-mail:
