Dynamic Counteraction Problem Analysis Using the Monte Carlo Method
Authors: Valishin A.A., Kolesnik I.D.
Published in issue: #6(174)/2026
Category: Aviation and Rocket-Space Engineering | Chapter: Aircraft Dynamics, Ballistics, Motion Control
A dynamic counteraction problem between two ground-based objects is considered, in which one object launches a strike aircraft to engage the other, while the defending side employs an interceptor for protection. The relevance of the study is driven by the development of high-precision strike systems and the need to improve the effectiveness of counteraction systems. A Monte Carlo simulation approach is used to solve the problem, which makes it possible to account for the probabilistic nature of motion parameters and operational conditions. The study includes a comparative analysis of different tactical schemes for employing the strike aircraft and various response strategies of the intercepting side. The obtained results demonstrate the influence of changes in launch parameters, maneuvering, and reaction time on the outcome of the engagement. The conclusions can be applied in the development of combat employment algorithms, in assessing the effectiveness of interception systems, and in formulating requirements for advanced dynamic counteraction systems. The work expands the understanding of the factors determining the outcome of interactions between strike and defensive assets in a dynamic environment.
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